Offseason Wrap Up: Who Aced It, Who Blew It?

Published by www.BleacherReport.com on 13/08/2010
Link: http://bleacherreport.com/articles/434914-offseason-wrap-up-who-aced-it-who-blew-it

Let’s get straight into it; here are my offseason awards for the summer of 2010.

AN OFFSEASON TO FORGET

Cleveland Cavaliers
There’s only one way out of this mess and that’s to tear it all down and start over. Anything else would be deluding themselves and their fans. Being a small market team that is unattractive to free agents it is vital they take the slow methodical approach of building through the draft, using Oklahoma City as the model. The patchwork approach that they seem to be favouring will only drag this ‘summer of pain’ out for the next decade or more.

Toronto Raptors
I once believed Bryan Colangelo was a top GM, but now I think he’s lost the plot. In the last few years he has handed out $230m worth of contracts to the likes of Bargnani, Calderon, Kapono, Jack, Johnson, Turkoglu and Kleiza. Yikes. No wonder Bosh skipped town. Drafting Ed Davis may be the only saving grace here.

Phoenix Suns
The Phoenix Suns just spent the offseason setting themself up for mediocrity. They did Toronto a huge favour by taking on the overpaid and overrated Turkoglu, and if they think they can replace Amar’e Stoudemire with Hakim Warrick and Channing Frye, they’ve lost touch with reality. And why are they hoarding small forwards? That’s the preferred position for Turkoglu, Hill, Childress, Dudley and Clark. A rebuild focused on youth would have been the sensible approach.

AN OFFSEASON TO REMEMBER

Miami Heat
The Miami Heat will be an unstoppable force for years to come. All the elements are there; scoring, shooting, rebounding, toughness and defense. For the next 2 years only one team stands in their way – the Los Angeles Lakers. After that, forget about it. Unless another super team is formed.

Chicago Bulls
The Chicago Bulls have finally arrived. Though not a true championship contender (they are still one quality player away), they are a top 4 team in the East and will be a force to be reckoned with in the playoffs. And just like the Blazers, they must love ‘stickin it’ to the Jazz.

Los Angeles Lakers
By making improvements to their championship squad, LA has promptly snuffed out the aspirations of other would-be contenders in the West. And let’s not beat around the bush here, barring an injury to one of their key players, they will be participating in the 2011 NBA Finals. Ditto for Miami.

FREE AGENCY - WHAT WERE THEY THINKING?

I’ll preface this section by saying that I was truly spoilt for choice here. Let’s be frank, GMs were spending like drunken sailors this summer. Some of the contracts handed out to mediocre players were absurd, even by NBA standards.

Darko Milicic (four-years, $20m), Wolves
It makes you wonder how closely David Kahn has payed attention to the NBA over the last few years. If he had, he would have seen the evidence that Milicic is just not cut out for the NBA. Three years ago Memphis gave Darko a 3 year $21m deal, and he failed to live up to it. In spite of this, Kahn saw fit to reward him with a 4 year $20m deal. Did we all miss something; does Kahn know something we don’t? Who am I kidding; this guy is the new ‘Isiah Thomas’. Minnesota fans don’t deserve this.

Joe Johnson (six-years, $124m), Hawks
The Atlanta Hawks better get comfortable being on the outside looking in, because that’s where they are going to stay with this decision. $124m for the guy who averaged 11.8ppg in the second round whitewash against Orlando? That’s no franchise player. The evidence is there; ignore it at your peril.

Drew Gooden (five-years, $32m), Bucks
This is a staggering amount for a guy that is about to play for his 9th different team in 9 seasons. And who exactly were they bidding against? His biggest strength is his rebounding but he far too often looks for his shot, not seeming to recognise his limitations on the offensive end. One positive; that won’t fly under coach Skiles.

FREE AGENT BARGAINS

Udonis Haslem (five-years, $20m), Heat
Re-signing Haslem solidified this team as a true title contender right off the bat. He’s a warrior and the perfect complement to the Miami Big 3. Staying in Miami for far less than market value also says a lot about the guy. His sacrifice will be rewarded.

Matt Barnes (two-years, $3.6m), Lakers
Matt Barnes should be a very bitter man. The one guy who actually deserved a payday once again got screwed, while the likes of those above were showered in undeserved millions. You don’t win championships in this league without a guy like Barnes, and it’s quite perplexing as to why no one wants to pay him. But he landed on his feet in LA where he will finally get the recognition he deserves, just not the payday. Shame.

Ronnie Brewer (three-years, $12.5m), Bulls
I was tempted to go for Steve Blake here but getting Brewer on the cheap is a steal. Despite his inconsistent stroke, he is a big athletic wing who can defend multiple positions, a perfect match for new coach Tom Thibodeau. Teaming in the backcourt with Rose, Brewer will be an important cog in this new and improved Bulls team.

HEAD SCRATCHING TRADES

Corey Maggette from the Warriors to the Bucks for Dan Gadzuric and Charlie Bell
You just know Warriors GM Larry Riley let out a ‘suckers’, when someone actually agreed to take on Maggette and his horrible contract. With the emergence of Bogut and Jennings and the re-signing of Salmons, Maggette was an unnecessary acquisition for the Bucks, especially at that price (three more years at $30m). But like it or not, they have 3 years to incorporate this volume shooter (i.e. ball hog) and lazy defender into the mix. I give it a week before he lands in coach Skiles’s doghouse.

Hedo Turkoglu from the Raptors to the Suns for Leandro Barbosa and Dwayne Jones
Bryan Colangelo deserves credit for unloading Turkoglu, but then again, he should have never signed him to that ridiculous contract in the first place. Barbosa’s similarly overpaid at $7m per, but I know which player I’d rather have. Phoenix, the problem is yours.

Kirk Hinrich and 17th overall pick Kevin Seraphin from the Bulls to the Wizards for the rights to 2006 second round pick Vladimir Veremeenko
They could have got more for him, but unloading Hinrich and his generous $9m per year salary was not unreasonable. What is unreasonable is Washington’s insistence that you need to put all your eggs in the backcourt basket to be successful in this league. $9m per year for a reserve guard is a luxury they can’t afford, especially with Arenas’s albatross hanging around their neck. My advice, although it appears to be a foreign concept to them, focus on improving your frontcourt if you really want to make strides.

BEST ‘UNDER THE RADAR’ TRADES

Al Jefferson from the Wolves to the Jazz for two future first round picks, a salary cap trade exception and Kosta Koufos
Big Al could ultimately be a better fit in Utah than Boozer, providing more length on defense and a better scorer on the block. And I am sure the low key Jefferson will endear himself to the salt lake city faithful, who no longer have to endure those exaggerated ‘look at me’ screams from Boozer every time he perceives a foul.

David Lee from the Knicks to the Warriors for Kelenna Azubuike, Anthony Randolph, Ronny Turiaf and a future second round pick
A nice trade for both sides, particularly for the Warriors, where Steph Curry and David Lee will form a solid foundation to build around. It’s a pity that foundation doesn’t include Greg Monroe.

Michael Beasley from the Heat to the Wolves for a future second round pick.
It’s hard to write this but nice move by Kahn. But let’s be honest, it’s not as if he burned up the phones to make this deal happen, as it was common knowledge that Beasley could be had for a packet of skittles. The enigmatic Beasley can average 15 points per game in his sleep, so imagine what he could do if he was actually clued into the game. Whether that can happen in Minnesota is another question.

DRAFT DAY BLUNDERS

Ekpe Udoh, No. 6 Warriors
You could see this coming a mile away. Greg Monroe would have been the smart choice but the Warriors typically don’t operate that way. Monroe should be a starting quality center for years to come, but with the arrival of David Lee, Udoh is destined to be a backup power forward. Presumably this pick was based on the belief that they already have a starting center in Andris Biedrins. Although a good rebounder, Biedrins averaged a truly pathetic 16% from the stripe last year, and let’s be honest, he couldn’t throw the ball in the ocean. Just because he is paid like a starting center doesn’t mean he is one. And enough already with drafting raw injury prone 6-10 stringbeans.

Avery Bradley, No. 19 Celtics
Look, Bradley could be a fine player in this league one day but I just don’t understand this pick for the Celtics. Boston has a desperate need for youth on the wings behind the aging Pierce and Allen, and James Anderson, Dominique Jones or Damion James could have provided that. At 6-3 and 180 lbs Bradley will have to make the transition to point guard in order to be successful in this league. And correct me if I am wrong, but the Cs already have a young superstar at that position who recently signed a lucrative extension. A trade is inevitable. And I don’t know about you, but I have a hard time trusting the man who 2 years ago drafted JR Giddens with a first round pick.

Gordon Hayward, No. 9 Jazz
The Jazz needed a home run with this gifted pick but I fear all they got was a serviceable role player, at best. They could have filled their two glaring holes, an athletic scoring wing to take the burden off Williams in the backcourt (Henry/George), and more importantly, size and muscle upfront with a defensive focus (Aldrich) to battle the likes of the Lakers in the playoffs. A missed opportunity, but not surprising if you look at their recent draft history (Maynor (traded), Koufos (traded), Almond (waived))

STEALS OF THE DRAFT

DeMarcus Cousins, No. 5 Kings
Ok, I admit it, there is a bust potential on Cousins due to his surly demeanour and negative attitude, but the rewards could be enormous. His ‘edgy’ personality may in fact help him to succeed at the center position, where let’s be frank, too many softies roam the paint. In a league where true bigs are becoming scarce, if Cousins does fulfil his potential he could be a monster. He has all the tools, he just needs to discover that burning ambition to be great. And I still can’t believe Minnesota passed on him, considering they are crying out for something resembling an NBA center. But that’s their MO, to butcher the draft. Need I remind you of the players they have passed over in recent years: Granger, Roy (traded), Westbrook, Curry, Jennings etc.

Cole Aldrich, No. 11 Thunder (from Hornets)
Oklahoma City gave up the rights to the 21st and 26th pick in a 15 man draft, in exchange for the 11th pick Cole Aldrich. Sam Presti is a genius. Aldrich won’t be confused for a star and may not even be a starter, but he could be a valuable rotational big on a contending team. That’s funny, I thought New Orleans were in need of the same thing. My mistake, I forgot they have Darius Songaila. And some people question Chris Paul’s desire to leave the penny pinching Hornets.

Lance Stephenson, No. 40 Pacers
The Pacers had nothing to lose with the 40th pick in the draft and they rightfully swung for the fences with Stephenson. He may not turn out to be the star once predicted, but his form and versatility in summer league proved he could be a nice contributor. Seemed like the perfect low risk pick for the Knicks at 38 or 39.

The Rise Of The Super Team Has Only Just Begun

Published by www.BleacherReport.com on 12/08/2010
Link: http://bleacherreport.com/articles/434221-the-rise-of-the-super-team-has-only-just-begun

The dramatic events of the 2010 offseason has laid the foundations to a new NBA, one where the rich get richer and poor get poorer, and where joining forces may be your only chance at success. In short, the era of the super team has only just begun.

The suped up Miami Heat threaten to become an unstoppable force, led by 2 of the top 3 players in the game, an All-Star power forward and a crew of smart veterans along for the ride. Three players the calibre of LeBron James, Dwayne Wade and Chris Bosh, coming together in this fashion to join forces in their prime, is a first for the NBA, and they will redefine what it means to dominate in this league.

Critics have been quick to poke holes in the theory, but sell these guys short at your peril. The issue of interior defense has been raised, and is a genuine concern as it’s typically the most crucial element to playoff success. But the Chicago Bulls won six NBA Championships with average to below average players patrolling the paint (Longley/Wennington/Purdue/Cartwright). The sheer greatness of Jordan and Pippen was enough to overcome it (and team defense) and the LeBron/Wade duo should have a similar impact. And Chicago never had a power forward the calibre of Chris Bosh.

The LeBron ‘Decision’ has set off a tidal wave of criticism, questioning everything from his competitiveness to his ability to win. Fact is, Cleveland had 7 years to put a championship calibre team around LeBron and failed to do so, being unable to pair him with one credible sidekick over that span. And make no mistake, that was the deal breaker. I challenge anyone to tell me with a straight face that Mo Williams was a worthy number 2 – or even a 3. The same applies to the 38 year old Shaquille O’Neal and the past-his-prime Antawn Jamison. Management dropped the ball, plain and simple.

You can’t win alone in the NBA and everyone should know that, and why so many seem to gloss over this fact is quite puzzling. Michael Jordan had Pippen, Kobe had Shaq and now Gasol, Magic Johnson had Kareem and Worthy, and Larry Bird had McHale and Parish, among others. In Cleveland, LeBron was stuck on an island. The Cavs were a one dimensional team, not built to withstand a tough 7 game series against an elite opponent. With Wade and Bosh as his new running mates, this team will win and win big.

For the Miami Heat, 4-5 championships over the next 5-6 years is the realistic goal. Resistance will come from the Los Angeles Lakers in the next 2 years, but as Kobe moves further away from his prime it could get ugly for the rest of the league, or simply spectacular if you are the Miami Heat.

In the years to come, the formation of a second super team may be the only real hope for the league. Top line players will come to the realisation that in order to take down the Heat, they will need to join forces with other elite players. This is the future of the NBA and the seeds already have been sewn for this to occur.

2012 will usher in super team number two. Chris Paul and Deron Williams can opt out of their deals in 2 years, and their recent comments suggest that this is the likely outcome. The trade speculation surrounding Paul merely reflects these intentions. Their respective teams, especially New Orleans, will have no choice but to seriously consider genuine trade proposals next summer and at the 2012 deadline. If they don’t wise up to the writing on the wall they will be left holding the can, like so many teams this offseason. Unless of course they are fine with the idea of receiving a TPE (Traded Player Exception) for their franchise player and future. But to lose players of that calibre in this fashion is unacceptable to a loyal fan base.

Paul and Williams are the type of players who are not motivated by money, they are single-minded winners who demand excellence and have no patience for mediocrity. If their team is not a genuine title contender in 2012, which seems likely, the chance they opt out and switch teams is real. And following in the footsteps of the Miami Big 3, they will accept less money if it means contending for a title in this new top-heavy NBA.

So who are the realistic suitors for Paul and Williams? You can’t go past New York and New Jersey, who barring any rash decisions in the next 2 years will have the money and cachet to attract the next wave of super team wannabes. Both teams are positioned nicely to make a run. For the Knicks, the shrewd signing of Raymond Felton for only 2 years, and Eddy Curry’s $11.3m expiring contract will put them in a prime position come 2012. Amar’e Stoudemire is already on board and they have two young forwards with All-Star potential in Gallinari and Randolph.

For the New Jersey Nets, apart from their Russian billionaire owner and a move to Brooklyn, the big attraction could be their emerging frontline of Favors and Lopez, which could be a monster in 3-4 years. And attacking Miami on the interior with an elite PF/C combination may be the only realistic means of challenging the Heat. But for New York and New Jersey, patience will be key and they must resist the urge to spend on marginal talent in the next few years.

Both teams could also have the capacity to add a young player like OJ Mayo or Eric Gordon, who barring an early extension, will be restricted free agents in 2012 and may be desperate to escape the NBA purgatory that is Memphis and the Clippers.

For Paul and Williams the smarter move may be to avoid the east altogether and stay in the west, where they would only encounter Miami in a finals matchup. In this case they may look to Portland or Oklahoma City. Whilst not having the glamour of the Knicks or a Brooklyn bound Nets, they certainly have the resources and pieces in place to form the next super team. Regardless of the outcome, for the next 2 years the power of free agency rests firmly in the hands of Chris Paul and Deron Williams.

Carmelo Anthony could also play a big role here but he is currently considering an extension with the Nuggets. If he has genuine ambitions to win an NBA title, he would be wise to play out his current contract and seek similar opportunities in 2011 (can opt out) or 2012.

Remember this day, July 8 2010, the day LeBron made his decision, because on this day the NBA as we know it changed. Whether it changed for the better is up for debate, but one thing is certain, the formation of a super team will have long lasting effects on the league. The standard for achieving success in the NBA just went up a notch.